The Iranian government has been great at conducting denial and deception over the years. In an article written by Mike Nizza suggested that a photo showing a launch of four missiles was actually only three had launched (Nizza and Lyons 2008). The image was released by Sepah News, which is the media wing of the Iran’s Revolutionary Guard and was mostly doctored up with photo shop.
There are many cases where Iran is hiding the real and showing the fake. For example, Iran’s nuclear program continually states their program is designed for electricity generation versus nuclear weapon (Reporter 2011). Then why do they need the so many centrifuge machines running, according to an article in The New York Times, the Iranians have 19,000 and 10,200 are operating (Board 2014). For Iran, acquiring a nuclear weapon is a matter of national pride and to project power in the region.
Another case is the denial and deception that took place at Parchin. According to Maseh Zarif, the regime did not allow inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) access (Zarif 2012). By not gaining entry, this provides miss leading information and IAEA cannot make an accurate assessment of their nuclear program.
So now that we have an understanding of how Iran is able to use D&D to continue with their weapons program let us examine where they are acquiring their technology. There is numerous sources of information in relation to the relationship that Iran has with both, China and Russia. They are both fully capable countries that could provide growth in the Iranian uranium enrichment program or provide items that are needed to the continual development.
Another tactic currently being employed by Iran is the stand back and let the situation in Iraq fester. The diversion going on in Iraq, Syria, and the Ukraine puts Iran on the back burner so the rest of the world are focused on other hot spots. The deteriorating situation in Iraq also provides an environment where the US and Iran have some common ground against an enemy known as ISIS (Nader 2014). By the US and Iran working together provides another opportunity for Iran to negotiate terms on an agreement. The only country really concerned with Iran is Israel because Iran still makes harsh statements against them about their ultimate destruction in the region.
There are numerous concerns on about Iran gaining nuclear weapons within the region because this would lead to great instability. Additionally, this would create an offset of power and could lead to further escalation in an area that has already been having problems.
Board, Editorial. “Impasse Over Iran’s Nuclear Program.” The New York Times, 09 2014.
Nader, Alireza. “Why Iran Can’t Walk Away from Nuclear Talks So Easily.” RAND Analysis, 09 2014.
Nizza, Mike, and Patrick J. Lyons. “In an Iranian Image, a Missile Too Many.” The Lede, 07 2008.
Reporter. “Blast Kills Commander at Iran Base.” The New York Times, 11 2011.
Zarif, Maseh. “Iran’s Denial and Deception at Parchin.” Iran Tracker, 07 2012.
OSINT – Week 7
For this forum, you are to answer one or more of the questions listed below. The original post must be a minimum of 250 words.
1. Detail what the United States government is doing in support of open source intelligence.
2. Describe the main elements of the OSINT strategy of the United States.
Why would the government baulk at hiring private organizations/companies to collect OSINT?
3. Assert and defend an appropriate role for the government in facilitating the use of OSINT at an international level. Is it different than the use of OSINT at a Federal, state, or municipal level? Give examples to support your position.